
Will additional undersea cable incidents be reported near Taiwan by March 15th, 2025?
4
100แน145Mar 15
66%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any new incidents of damaged or cut undersea communications cables are reported in waters near Taiwan before March 15th, 2024. Incidents must be verified by Taiwan's authorities or telecommunications companies.
Please comment links to news sources.
Resolution Sources:
Taiwan Coast Guard Administration reports
Major telecommunications companies' statements
International news coverage of verified incidents
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Chinese researchers publish new undersea cable detection or manipulation technology by March 2025
35% chance
Will a typhoon make landfall in Taiwan in 2025?
66% chance
China blockades Taiwan in 2025? (media reports)
16% chance
Will China institute a naval blockade of Taiwan before the end of 2025?
12% chance
Will Taiwan be Taiwan in 2025?
87% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
8% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
7% chance
Will the US evacuate its citizens from Taiwan before June 2025?
6% chance
Will Antarctica be connected to high-speed fiber optic cable by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?
14% chance