Will the first AGI be capable of love? | Manifold

Will the first AGI be capable of love?

8

210Ṁ64

2051

55%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if the first AGI claims it itself is capable of loving another, that being a person, another AI, animals, or abstract concepts such as nature, mathmatics, etc.

Resolves NO if the first AGI cannot compute love.

Resolves N/A if AGI doesn't exist by 2050.

Resolves up to my discression, but as of the beginning of this market, it will require zero-shot prompting (if applicable) and be asked in the initial "starting" state of the AGI. Asking it to RP doesn't count.

Lex Fridman can be the tiebreaker, if needed.

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How does this resolve if the first AGI is able to convincingly prove, to the satisfaction of most humans, that love does not actually exist/is incoherent?

@NLeseul That would resolve NO, and so would I.

ChatGPT claims to not be capable of love...

@duck_master Is that only after RLHF? Would expect that it outputs what humans are most likely to write, which would include claiming to be capable of love.

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Will the first AGI be a large language model?

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Will AGI be achieved before AIs are able to smell?

Will the first AGI be an LLM that emulates Nobel-prize-worthy scientific research?

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Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?

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