Tesla Robotaxi Service at-fault accident or non-fully-autonomous by 2026?
3
100Ṁ352026
61%
chance
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Ben Hylak has made a handful of predictions related to a question for which I have another market linked below.
This resolves YES if Ben Hylak is right.
https://x.com/benhylak/status/1936926061348134983
https://x.com/benhylak/status/1936950420854972810
I.e., this resolves YES if by 2026 either one of:
A Tesla Robotaxi is involved in an accident for which Tesla is at-fault
We learn that Tesla Robotaxis have an intervention rate similar to Cruise, which seems to have been reported as being close to 2-4% of the time, and at a frequency of about every 2.5-5 miles
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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