Will Saudi Arabia build a structure at least 100m x 100m x 1000m before 2040 | Manifold

Will Saudi Arabia build a structure at least 100m x 100m x 1000m before 2040

26

1kṀ6623

2040

70%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Based on Scott's prediction here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/model-city-monday-8122?r=f8jeq&s=r&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

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Construction updates: https://www.resortx.com/neom---the-line/

It seems a lot less probable than 8%, I'd think.

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