This market resolves to NO, if by the end of 2023 I have not released a new game. It resolves YES if I do release a new game.
Releasing a game into Early Access on steam **counts** as releasing a game and will receive a YES resolution.
My previous game Slay The Spire took about 2.5 years before we launched it into Early Access.
May 15, 12:14am: Updated to say that this includes game jam games!
joy_void_joy bought M$100 of YES3 days ago
Game jam makes it quite likely in my opinion

Mr Stone bought M$100 of NO9 days ago
Bit late, but here it is!

Mr Stone is betting NO at 67% 13 days ago
@SneakySly I will match any yes-bet of you by a no-bet to motivate you, up to 1000 manifollars.

SneakySly is betting YES at 70% 10 days ago
@stone Awesome, I will bet an additional $100 then for now.
Do you associate with any game jam people and would it count?

@KieronGeorge A game jam would count. I do associate with some jam people. (Although I do not currently have a jam in mind to participate in, I could in the next two years.)

Mr Stone bought M$5 of NO14 days ago
Either you don't and I win (manifollars) or you do and I win (a game!).
Rai bought M$40 of NO16 days ago
Games are hard

Mr Stone is betting NO at 42% 8 days ago
@agentydragon this is the creator of the legendary roguelike deck builder 'Slay the Spire'!

Nathan bought M$50 of YES16 days ago
Here's hoping

Manifold Markets bought M$20 of YES18 days ago
We all hope so!
Maybe we should make a game called that's a version of Manifold Market plays Slay The Spire!
Austin bought M$10 of YES18 days ago
👀 👀 👀