Will Dr P resolve his current Trump market accurately and on time?
52
12
100
resolved Jul 5
Resolved
YES
Will Dr P resolve his current Trump market accurately and on time like he says? If he resolves it N/A that counts as a NO as well. https://manifold.markets/DrP/will-donald-trump-be-the-president
Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted YES
P
predicted YES
A
predicted YES
M
predicted YES
P
bought Ṁ227 of YES
U
bought Ṁ99 of YES
speculating
bought Ṁ100 of YES
arbitrage
bought Ṁ16 of NO
hedging
predicted YES
I will close within 24 hours PST
bought Ṁ20 of NO
Base rate of resolving within a day seems substantially lower than 80%.
bought Ṁ10 of NO
Is July 5th "on time"?
@MartinRandall It needs to be resolved by the time my market closes.
bought Ṁ180 of YES
Get rekt!
bought Ṁ40 of YES
Pampu.
bought Ṁ134 of YES
quack quack
bought Ṁ1 of YES
Cross my die and hope to heart.