If Manifold adds the ability to tip markets or something similar enough, this resolves YES. Otherwise resolves NO at close.
This market lasts for 30 days.
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@Sinclair
Me looking at the sprint meetings in Notion to see where this is in the task list. Bets accordingly.
"I am a Genius"
Sinclair posts.
"Oh No!"
"Sinclair is a flake" is starting to look like a profitable trading strategy.
It occurs to me that I use "skin in the game bets" not as a form of motivation, nor as a way of showing social proof, but as a way of absolving me of moral responsibility of not completing features that I told users I would.
The way things normally work is "I'm going to do x [or else you'll think of me slightly less]", but I want to say "I'm going to do x [or lose mana, but not social capital]"