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Will AI advancements drive even more energy usage?
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Ṁ530Ṁ770
resolved Feb 10
Resolved
YES

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  • Which energy? Labs's? Consumers's?

  • Are you measuring second order effects? Like energy from more drug research due to alphafold-enabled advances.

  • Are you discounting energy saved due to AI, like more efficient supply chains?

Jevon's paradox..

Beyond just how much AI consumes, if AI has a big impact on new material, cheaper photovoltaic, cheaper batteries, or ways to stabilize fusion reactors, it should make a lot of more energy harvestable, driving more usage indirectly.

What's the timeline and resolution criteria?

@ProjectVictory energy increase in 2024 by around 30%

@Sneaky So a 30% increase in the energy usage just on training and running AI models vs the total energy usage in training/running AI during 2023?

What’s the baseline? How will we measure this?

@AndrewEdstrom 30% increase from 2023

@Sneaky do you have a source you will use for each year's energy use (that you can link)? Please also update description if so