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Would this market fall into your 2nd example?

https://manifold.markets/MichaelWheatley/will-catnee-still-be-the-1-alltime?r=ZGFnbmF6dHk

Will @Catnee still be the #1 all-time trader on July 1st?

19% chance. Conditional on leaderboard tabulations not being significantly changed, will @Catnee remain in the top spot? More fine print: -Conditional on WvM resolving as expected. -I reserve the right to ignore deliberate profit manipulations.

@dagnazty Is this leagues related? Seems controversial but I don’t see the connection to leagues as of right now - I could just be missing it.

@DanMan314 they manipulated profits is the claim

@MarcusAbramovitch To get a better place in leagues? Legitimately not trying to be pedantic here, just the intent of the market was to be about leagues not any market manipulation happening on the site.

@DanMan314 I believe the trade they are claiming is last minute manipulation was for the user’s league with that M2000 bet probably hoping for that quick resolution.

@dagnazty (any unrealized profits still count when leagues lock, so wouldn't need the resolution so long as no one bet it back)

@Stralor I didn’t even look into the actual trade itself egg on my face their trade impacted this market and possibly other users leagues but not theirs directly.

@MarcusAbramovitch I do not think it was for leagues. Catnee was in Bots league and placed last. However MayMeta and Levi were involved in profit manip with leagues but I don't think it was that controversial

So as of right now I believe this absolutely was controversial but I don’t see it as connected to leagues, just incidentally had similar end dates.

I think that opinion could easily change if presented with evidence but that’s the position for now.

@DanMan314 It will definitely have an impact on my league standing!!!

I’m not going to actively seek out controversy, feel free to link here things that qualify.

So which are seen as the most controversial markets right now?

I’m just wondering if there’s a profit to be made from league rivals acting irrationally…

@SimonGrayson Check out some of Levi's moves, I also tried to manipulate leagues a bit but only making bets I think are profitable on their own :)

Does profit transfer using private markets (like how MayMeta was transferred ~40k) count if it is controversial? (Obviously this example doesn't count)