To count as surviving it should:
-Have no cracks in the glass on the front or back
-have no permanent changes to the shape of the frame
-screen still turns on, touch and all features still work.
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@AshDorsey I perceive this as a YES as well, but I don't want to all-in out of the fear that somebody will, "um, actually," this from the shadows.
I found an image of the inside of this device, it looks like the central area where people would try to bend it is just a giant battery, that could be hard to bend:

I wonder if bending it just above the battery would be more productive? That area has less support on the sides due to those buttons, and no battery.
@Eliza I found a video of this same man doing a "bend test" of an old iPhone 6 Plus, and he easily bent it. He specifically bent it near a button cutout to show the frame could break:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7rx4Yz6wHzI
This new phone model appears to use a different material, so results may vary.
@Eliza Apple are claiming that this phone will pass any bend test, they organized an event specifically to show that it will not break if bent:
https://www.tomsguide.com/phones/iphones/apples-iphone-durability-test-clips-show-how-it-made-sure-the-iphone-air-and-iphone-17-series-are-built-to-last
Note that in the GIF type image they are bending it in one orientation. They should also be bending it with the main pressure on the screen, right?
I'll put 2500 on No at the current market price, just for fun.
I don't know what the publication schedule is, so it is a short offer for 1 hour only. Which might still be risky.
I'm confident in my bet. But my only concern is that it's not a standardized test done by a machine with a set amount of force. Because this is a high profile launch of an ultra thin device Jerry will be incentivized (consciously or not) to put more force into breaking it, thus putting his video at the centre of a new scandal and getting way more clicks on it.