Will whales make these markets unfair?
15
100Ṁ1023
resolved Jun 21
Resolved
50%
This will be unfair
Resolved
50%
This will totally be unfair
Resolved
50%
This will be really unfair

This market resolves on a random/unknown day in June 2025 (I have already secretly decided which day).

Each option resolves as their percentage on the closing moment.

I'm doing this to test whether it's possible to make self resolving markets that are fair by choosing random closing dates. My assumptions will be proved true if:

  • The percentage of each option will be similar

  • There won't be much volatility in the market

  • Volatility will decrease with time (instead than increasing)

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