[ARK predictions] what will global GDP be in 2030?

300Ṁ124

2031

ALL

36%

<$130 trillions

30%

$130-170 trillions

28%

$170-330 trillions

>=$330 trillions

ARK Invest just published a white paper called Platforms Of Innovation. The white paper contains many opportunities to bet on the economic impact of converging technologies.

In 2023, global GDP was $105trillions. The white paper provides the following figures about GDP in 2030:

Consensus GDP: $130t
Projected GDP Consistent with Technological History: $170t (consensus+ARK forecast of robotaxis and adaptive robotics economical impact)
AI Ark Forecast: $330t (forecast that includes the additional impact of AI)

Source

This market allows to speculate on the projections contained in the white paper.

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I made a new market on ARK's predictions. How to tag it with one line (without showing the whole picture)?

$26T of the 2030 GDP is robotaxis in the $170T scenario?! I just skimmed the diagrams for now, but that's going to be a hard one to explain. Generally got a second-tier management consultant buzz-word speak vibe looking at the thing.

Oh right, this is the Cathie Wood fund. I guess they need hype (like how they were planting dozens of media articles each week) to buoy their reputation. I see they have gone from a peak of $50B to 7B AUM so this might be more propaganda on their part to excite the marginal smooth-brained investor.

@AlQuinn I added the screenshots of the exact section where I took the figures from. Regardless of the personal opinion about ARK invest or their motives, I think this white paper offers a lot of specific figures about the economic impact of technologies to bet on (or against) I'll be making a few more markets on this white paper soon