2019's Joker was a surprise sensation, grossing $1.079 billion at the box office.

The sequel came out today, pairing Joaquin Phoenix's Joker with Lady Gaga's Harley Quinn. Given the success of the first film the studio might have been expecting another billion dollar film but Manifold isn't expecting that to happen:

/SimonGrayson/will-joker-folie-a-deux-gross-over

Since that market went live, the film has been released and the early word of mouth has been awful. Will the film even make half a billion?

The source of truth for this market will be the film's Box Office Mojo page here. The cutoff date will be 31st December - but if it's looking very close then I will wait for a week after that to see if the days up to the 31st are revised.