2019's Joker was a surprise sensation, grossing $1.079 billion at the box office.

The sequel came out last week, pairing Joaquin Phoenix's Joker with Lady Gaga's Harley Quinn. Given the success of the first film, I asked whether this would be another billion dollar film. When Manifold concluded that it wouldn't, I asked whether it would reach half a billion:

The film has come out to poor reviews and disappointing opening. People are talking about it being an absolute flop. So now I'm asking whether the film will even make a quarter of a billion dollars.

The source of truth for this market will be the 

. The cutoff date will be 31st December - but if it's looking very close then I will wait for a week after that to see if the days up to the 31st are revised.

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ1,611
2		Ṁ1,543
3		Ṁ1,132
4		Ṁ764
5		Ṁ521

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