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Last night was the main debate in question and Donald Trump did not attend.

No further debate is scheduled in August, but I’ll wait until the end of the month to resolve this to NO just in the very unlikely event that the debate schedule is changed on absurdly short notice!

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/18/us/politics/trump-debate-tucker-carlson.html

Trump plans to go on Tucker Carlson the same night (I think he also wants to mess with Fox News after treating him poorly lately) 😂

Haven’t updated in a while. 37 points ahead of Desantis. Doesn’t look likely:

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/first-republican-debate-2024-who-qualified-boycotting.html

First Republican Debate: Who’s In, Who’s Banned, Who’s Boycotting

When the candidates debate in Milwaukee on August 23, some big names may be missing due to the RNC’s strict criteria and loyalty pledge.

@parhizj Seems 50/50 to me

@ShadowyZephyr He can barely make it to a SCIF room for a federal trial. I think he is just lazy and wants to golf more. 😂

@parhizj Checked again on 538, still +37 of DeSantis. Increasing NO bet.

@parhizj Trump will keep his cards close to his chest until the last moment.

DeSantis is in, will Donald Trump join?

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/republican-debate-milwaukee-presidential-primary/

RNC sets first Republican presidential primary debate for Aug. 23

The Republican National Committee also set the rules for the first GOP primary debate of the 2024 presidential cycle.

@SirCryptomind Why are you betting no? This is before the end of August. If any two candidates are going to appear, it would be Trump and DeSantis, who are polling significantly higher than the others.

@ShadowyZephyr Maybe Trump won’t be interested in debating?

https://apnews.com/article/trump-2024-republican-presidential-debates-e674cab77b1b37e29dcb834563c9b981

https://apnews.com/article/republicans-debate-2024-president-august-6cc406eb00c72835f4f59acb30d71e95

Has a large lead and won’t commit to supporting the RNC candidate

Republicans schedule 1st presidential debate for Aug. 23, but there’s no guarantee Trump will attend

The first Republican presidential debate of the 2024 election cycle will be held Aug. 23, and candidates participating must pledge to support the eventual GOP nominee.

@parhizj He says he is leaning towards not going, but I think he is a bit more likely to go than not. Betting up to 70% was a mistake though I will admit.

2016 had one debate by August; dunno if I wanna bet on those two specific participants...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Republican_Party_presidential_debates_and_forums