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Who will be promoted to Diamond from the Intuitive Faeries league?
29
closes Jun 2

Intuitive Faeries is looking like one of the toughest and most competitive platinum leagues:

https://manifold.markets/leagues/1/platinum/Intuitive-Faeries

There are lots of big names in the group, including 2nd place and 7th place on the all time traders leaderboard (1st and 5th if you don't include bots).

Only five can be promoted to the Diamond League at the end of the month though. Who will it be?

The 24 runners and riders are:

@SimonGrayson @MarcusAbramovitch @firstuserhere @levifinkelstein @PatMyron @Heliscone @vincentpearce @Fedor @BrendanFinan @JosephNoonan @A @eclair4151 @Stralor @toms @Lorenzo @JohnSmithb9be @Tyler31 @GeorgeVii @tornado @Thekla @cloe @Predictor @JulianM @NikitaSkovoroda

The market will be resolved as a 5 way 20% each tie between top five from the league who are promoted to Diamond.

This market is just for fun so market manipulation, insider trading and attempts to mask gains and losses by members of the league are allowed and encouraged!

Sort by:
firstuserhere avatar
firstuserhere

@SimonGrayson you were so close, a shame really you didnt make top 5

Fedor avatar
Fedor

@firstuserhere Such a shame, you put up a good fight

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserheresold Ṁ572 of @firstuserhere

this is what the fina leaderboard looks like to me

Stralor avatar
Pat Scott🩴
SirCryptomind avatar
Sir Cryptomind

I believe that is the true final as that is what I also see (and not changing).

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserhere

@SirCryptomind yeah but wanted to ss because some people are saying that it's still jumping around for them

Stralor avatar
Pat Scott🩴bought Ṁ20 of @levifinkelstein

looking forward to a quiet(er) season two with the faeries. who knows what all those new plats coming in flush with money from winning gold will do though!

SirCryptomind avatar
Sir Cryptomindbought Ṁ200 of @SimonGrayson

It ended I believe

SirCryptomind avatar
Sir Cryptomindbought Ṁ120 of @PatMyron

This is when the countdown timer went away.

SimonGrayson avatar
Simon Graysonsold Ṁ23 of @levifinkelstein

@SirCryptomind Yep - these seem to be the final rankigs!

I'll wait until there's some kind of full confirmation before resolving the market.

bingeworthy avatar
bingeworthysold Ṁ100 of @SimonGrayson

@SirCryptomind I refreshed the page and levina jumped up again. I think things are a little broken

SimonGrayson avatar
Simon Graysonbought Ṁ200 of @levifinkelstein

@bingeworthy Crazy... We're still moving around after the rankings have supposedly closed?

Stralor avatar
Pat Scott🩴bought Ṁ10 of @levifinkelstein

@bingeworthy probably locked in earlier than we thought and the servers went screwy

SirCryptomind avatar
Sir Cryptomindbought Ṁ300 of @levifinkelstein

Ah yea, I see the timestamp, that would mean it was still moving for like 10 minutes, so that would make sense if that is indeed the final.

Fedor avatar
Fedorbought Ṁ50 of @levifinkelstein

@SirCryptomind Markets been moving aaaalll day

firstuserhere avatar
Mirabought Ṁ55 of@NikitaSkovoroda
firstuserhere

@Mira you just had to snipe

Stralor avatar
Pat Scott🩴

since this is a pari-mutuel market, it prob should close early 😅 (I say as someone who now can respond to twelve hours of shuffling, cutting out others' profits)

SirCryptomind avatar
Sir Cryptomindbought Ṁ120 of @SimonGrayson

@Stralor Levina really tanked down almost to demotion to Gold, wowzers!

Stralor avatar
Pat Scott🩴bought Ṁ10 of @SimonGrayson

@SirCryptomind aaand Levi is back

SimonGrayson avatar
Simon Grayson

@Stralor Absolute scenes...

@levifinkelstein - was that a glitch or is there a market which your promotion hopes are riding on?

SirCryptomind avatar
Sir Cryptomindsold Ṁ120 of @SimonGrayson

🤣 Ahh Market Manipulation

SimonGrayson avatar
Simon Grayson

@Stralor Ah... I'm slightly disappointed it's not a more interesting market!

On the point of closing early... Since this is meant to be a bit of a fun/silly market (as mentioned in the original description) my instinct would have been to leave it open. But I'm happy to close it early if people would prefer to treat the profit element of it a bit more seriously! I could put up a poll?

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserhere

@SimonGrayson buying myself up to 30%. I will lose some but i think it will make the market more interesting xD

SimonGrayson avatar
Simon Grayson

If only the random timer had been a bit quicker… I don’t fancy my chances of making it from here!

At least I’ll get a decent prize for sixth place and I’ll get a league full of fellow non-promoted competitors next season…

SimonGrayson avatar
Simon Grayson

And now we play the waiting game to see exactly when our scores will be frozen in place...

Will it be a long wait?

Fedor avatar
Fedorbought Ṁ10 of @PatMyron

The Levina/Nikita battle is very close.

SimonGrayson avatar
Simon Grayson

@Fedor Yes - Levi's sitting on some pretty volatile markets so I think the result there might come down to when exactly the league is frozen...

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserhere

@Fedor well... (link)

Fedor avatar
Fedorbought Ṁ50 of @levifinkelstein

@firstuserhere Levi flipped to the lad again, it keeps coming back and forth

Fedor avatar
Fedorsold Ṁ51 of @levifinkelstein

@Fedor aaaand nikita

MayMeta avatar
MayMeta

@Fedor what a race!

Fedor avatar
Fedorbought Ṁ35 of @MarcusAbramovitch

@MayMeta especially with catnee helping nikita's positions

Fedor avatar
Fedorsold Ṁ29 of @SimonGrayson

@Fedor Simon got booted out... again

Fedor avatar
Fedorbought Ṁ50 of @firstuserhere

@Fedor And Levi out, Simon in again

SimonGrayson avatar
Simon Grayson

I thought that the “AI letter” market wouldn’t rock our league because it’s delisted…

It turns out a lot of people had shares in the listed mirrors!

Stralor avatar
Pat Scott🩴
Fedor avatar
Fedorbought Ṁ30 of @SimonGrayson

Sell aaaallll shares on me 😭

JosephNoonan avatar
Joseph Noonanbought Ṁ1 of @JosephNoonan
SimonGrayson avatar
Simon Graysonbought Ṁ20 of @levifinkelstein

This has thrown a huge cat among the pigeons... It sends @MarcusAbramovitch from the relegation zone to an enormous lead in first place and it leaves @levifinkelstein fighting for promotion!

Fedor avatar
Fedor

@SimonGrayson Yeah, this will make it tough to hold on to the diamond promotion

JohnSmithb9be avatar
John Smith

@Fedor Well that just happened. I made out okay but Levina jumped like ten spaces.

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserhere

I'm currently last in the league and first in this market, lol

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserhere

@firstuserhere we're so back

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserhere

@firstuserhere and even the bot tag's gone!

MayMeta avatar
MayMeta
firstuserhere avatar
firstuserherebought Ṁ5 of @firstuserhere

I've now got a bot tag on my account, but don't read much into it - it's just temporary because I plan to automate some basic trading while i have less time to do manifold over the next few weeks

MayMeta avatar
MayMeta

@firstuserhere I'll remind you that:

James wrote on Discord — 05/15/2023 20:08 UTC

Yeah, will try to generate a bots cohort each season with all the active bots! They would need the bot badge to be considered, so can submit PRs to get bot badges for them

So if you're still a "bot" by the end of May, you might be transferred to the Bot cohort, Catnee is already there btw, So you'll have good company.

But that's a very sneaky way to stay Platinum ngl 😄

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