The US House of Representatives has been without a Speaker since Kevin McCarthy was ousted a week ago.
There is a market on who the next Speaker will be, and Manifolders are currently predicting a high chance that it will be Steve Scalise
/SimonGrayson/who-will-be-the-next-speaker-of-the-0b49bf53ad12
When will the first House vote for Speaker take place?
If it looks like it's going to drag on for more than another week and "Other" is popular, I will start adding more dates!
Resolution notes
This market is about the first full vote where members of the House vote for named candidates. It does not include procedural matters like a vote on whether to have a vote.
The resolution will be based on Washington DC time - if a vote begins before midnight, the market will resolve to that day even if the voting itself carries on past midnight.
If there is some sort of process where a Speaker can be appointed without House members voting for named candidates, this market will resolve to N/A
Related questions
๐ Top traders
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| 1 | แน217 | |
| 2 | แน200 | |
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| 4 | แน160 | |
| 5 | แน77 |
@jack Ah, I didnโt spot yours!
It would be interesting to hear which format people think works better for this particular market?