Resolves YES if a vote for the election of the next Speaker of the House starts by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date, otherwise NO.
Only a full House vote to officially elect the next Speaker counts. E.g. a private Republican caucus vote does not count, and procedural votes do not count.
(For example, if it happens on October 20, then both the October 20 and the October 31 dates resolve YES while the earlier dates resolve NO.)
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@SimonGrayson I'm also curious about that. Personally I much prefer being able to bet on a whole range of dates, rather than individual dates (which is why I've been asking for the new market format for a long time!), even though the liquidity is somewhat worse. Ideally Manifold will support mutually exclusive buckets and also betting on ranges of buckets.