
When the next major candidate drop out of the Republican presidential primaries? (Six candidates remaining)
11
630Ṁ16kresolved Jan 11
Resolved
YESBy 31st January
Resolved
YESBy 29th February
Resolved
YESBy 14th January
Resolved
YESBy 14th February
Resolved
NOBy 31st December
Resolved
NOBy 14th December
There are six major candidates remaining in the race to be the Republican nominee for President (I'm going by FiveThirtyEight's definition of major candidates):
Donald Trump
Nikki Haley
Ron DeSantis
Vivek Ramaswamy
Chris Christie
Asa Hutchinson
When will the next one drop out, leaving us with just five?
This is linked to the market on who the next dropout will be, so you can see more about the rules about what counts as dropping out, etc. here:
/SimonGrayson/who-will-be-the-next-major-candidat-c9dc9c2cfcb6
The multiple outcomes on this market aren't linked and the dates are inclusive, so if someone drops out on 14th January, the two December markets will resolve to NO while the 14th January market and all of the later markets will resolve to YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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