OpenAI's O1 model represents a new paradigm of LLMs. How long until a competitor catches up?

"Catches up" / "matches capabilities" is defined as matching or exceeding the O1 pass@1 benchmarks on AIME, Codeforces, and GPQA at the time of publication:

• 74.4-percentile on AIME

• 89-percentile on Codeforces

• 78% accuracy on GPQA