How long until one of Gemini, Claude, etc... match the capabilities of O1?
17
Ṁ27692026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
7%
Oct 12th 2024
28%
Dec 12th 2024
50%
April 12th 2025
10%
September 12th 2025
3%
April 12th 2026
3%
OpenAI's O1 model represents a new paradigm of LLMs. How long until a competitor catches up?
"Catches up" / "matches capabilities" is defined as matching or exceeding the O1 pass@1 benchmarks on AIME, Codeforces, and GPQA at the time of publication:
83.3-percentile on AIME
89-percentile on Codeforces
78% accuracy on GPQA
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