Overtaking refers having a lower rank (not a higher elo!) on https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text a month after model release. If a company releases a model that overtakes Gemini 2.5 pro, all options after release date will resolve YES and options before or on release date resolve NO. I will use the criteria that the link loads to on the lmarena leaderboard and PT for release dates. "Other" refers any model not released by Google, Anthropic, OpenAI, or xAI.
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Is the question about:
- which company is the first model to overtakes 2.5pro by date X?
Or
- which company overtakes 2.5pro by date X?
e.g. if anthropic and openai overtakes 2.5pro by X and Y months, will only one of them resolve in yes (min(X,Y)), or will the two of them have a question resolved in yes?
@notbayesian the latter. If A over takes 2.5 pro at time X, even if B surpassed at time Y<X, all options for A after X resolve YES