Will the new 538 forecast come out before the end of August?
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resolved Aug 23
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YES
US Politics
2024 US Presidential Election
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Kamala Harris
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A similar question, with a later date:

bought Ṁ100 NO

I've added dates on the daily market up to the end of August - so this market can act as an arbitrage as well as a prediction of the exact date:

/SimonGrayson/when-will-538-publish-their-harris

bought Ṁ25 NO

Seems maybe overconfident? But I may well be missing some public communication from the 538 team.

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