Will the new 538 forecast come out before the end of August?
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Ṁ21kresolved Aug 23
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August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
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I've added dates on the daily market up to the end of August - so this market can act as an arbitrage as well as a prediction of the exact date: