Will the new 538 forecast come out before the end of August?

51

1kṀ21k

resolved Aug 23

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

2024 US Presidential Election

Predictions on Predictions

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ966
2		Ṁ310
3		Ṁ271
4		Ṁ269
5		Ṁ114

Sort by:

A similar question, with a later date:

bought Ṁ100 NO

I've added dates on the daily market up to the end of August - so this market can act as an arbitrage as well as a prediction of the exact date:

/SimonGrayson/when-will-538-publish-their-harris

bought Ṁ25 NO

Seems maybe overconfident? But I may well be missing some public communication from the 538 team.

Related questions

Will the 538 brand be active again by the end of the year?

Will there be a 538 election model for the 2028 election?

Related questions

Will the 538 brand be active again by the end of the year?

Will there be a 538 election model for the 2028 election?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules