When Joe Biden announced that he was withdrawing from the Presidential race, 538 suspended their prediction model, replacing it with a red sign saying "Forecast suspended":

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

There is a lot of interest on Manifold as to what the updated version of the model will show once it comes out:

/ManifoldPolitics/when-538s-next-model-comes-out-what

When will it come back online, showing us a percentage chance for each of Harris and Trump?

Market notes:

• This resolves to the first day on which 538 is showing a model at this page or a similar page. A sneak-preview on Twitter or any other site will not count.

• The market resolves based on Washington DC time (any time after midnight counts as the next day)

• If it looks like it might be longer than a week, I will add more days and anyone better on "other" will receive an equal number of shares in those options. If you don't think that they will ever publish a Harris vs Trump model, you can still bet on Other.