MANIFOLD
When will we know whether Sam returns to OpenAI?
26
Ṁ1.2kṀ8.6k
resolved Nov 22
100%89%
Tuesday (21.11)
0.3%
Sunday (19.11)
1.5%
Monday (20.11)
1.5%
Wednesday (22.11)
0.4%
Thursday (23.11)
0.6%
Friday (24.11)
0.8%
Saturday / Sunday (25.-26.11)
6%Other

Resolves to the first day where the market below trades >95% or <15%. Has to stay there for at least two hours (these two hours can be part of the next day).


Other = Later (I might split out more options)
Resolves according to Pacific Standard Time

Market context
OpenAI
Sam Altman
Greg Brockman
Derivative Markets
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The market has now dipped below 15%, to 11%

@mattyb It stayed there for less than two hours

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