🏅 Top traders

this market is resolved officially for all the pedants who were not satisfied with “in principle”

“looking forward to returning” meaning not yet returned https://x.com/sama/status/1727207458324848883

“agreement in principle […] collaborating to figure out the details” https://x.com/openai/status/1727206187077370115

No other announcements. Resolving to YES is premature, especially when the end of 2024 is super far away. There is no rush to resolve.

Would you be willing to unresolve this market (perhaps with mod help)? Nothing is confirmed by an agreement "in principle", and I personally think there's a good chance that it doesn't go through! (And definitely that it's premature to have resolved the market?)

@james I agree. However creators can have their own interpretations, I do wish it's explicitly clarified before resolution.

Here's my market on the same that's still open, and in fact shows less than 90% chance!

@james It was not premature. Refer to the twitter acocunt of Brockman, Sutskever, Murati, and OpenAI itself.

@NealShrestha58d3 Has there been any tweet confirming it other than ‘in principle’?

@NealShrestha58d3 we have all been reading the same news - which says that there has been an "in principle" agreement that they will re-appoint Sam CEO, but we have not yet gotten confirmation that they've fleshed out the details and actually appointed him.

The Brockman tweets are pretty compelling, though I agree this is fuzzy.

@Joshua They're compelling that Brockman returned!

@chrisjbillington actually also he may never have formally resigned, he announced he was resigning, I'm not sure what makes it official or if he ever did it.

@NealShrestha58d3 It is premature. There is no official announcement. OpenAI said “agreement in principle” and Sam said looking forward to rejoining.

@topanter fortunately if the market is misresolved, it can be reresolved

Doubled my mana stack :)

@marcogiglio W

@marcogiglio Congrats, great trading

Sounds like Sam is already CEO?

If you were gonna resolve based on the announcement, wish you'd told us so I could have brought it up to 100% 😅

@Joshua My b

@NealShrestha58d3 What a crazy market to have as your first one! Welcome to manifold!

@Joshua Thank you very much :)

Other similar markets haven’t resolved yet, I’m not aware of this being officially confirmed?

@TheBayesian they said "in principle" and sam / microsoft etc. have confirmed, meaning they agreed to bring sam but they're just trying to agree on the final board members and other details

@MichaelTrazzi I mean, you could say the same about Sam joining Microsoft, but that didn't happen.

Resolve as YES