Options resolve as 'YES' if any of their completed 2024 data points surpasses their 2023 peak.
Note: Any option that has already surpassed its 2023 peak in 2024 before being proposed will be N/A'd.
Related questions
1) Nvidia, 2) Path of Totality, 3) Leap year, 4) Biological weapons, 5) Effective Accelerationism, can all resolve to YES I think :))
@Simon74fe
@HenriThunberg Thanks!! Resolved the first three, but I can't yet see the peak for biological weapons and effective accelerationism on my side
@Simon74fe Hmmkay, I thought I had the exact same settings as you?
Biological weapons:
Effective Accelerationism
1) Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion , 2) Taylor Swift, and 3) Neuralink can all resolve to YES I think.
@Simon74fe
@HenriThunberg Thanks! On my side "Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion" only reached the same peak as in 2023, didn't surpass it yet.
I resolved the other two.
@Simon74fe thank you!
Hmm, are we seeing the same thing? To me, the peak looks clearly caused by Jan 5th 2024 mainly. If you need the full week view to be exclusively in 2024 (as is not the case for Dec 31 2023 -Jan 6 2024), then I think that should be clarified somewhere :)
@Simon74fe Cool, the difference was "search term" vs "topic". Good to know!
@jBosc Earl Grey was N/A'd because this would have been betting on the past. Earl Grey tea was added on February 7th; however it had already surpassed its 2023 peak in January 2024
I already see 10,000 reasons why this is wrong but there are no backsies on Manifold. Goodbye 25 mana.
ETA backsies. NOT backside. DYAC