Resolves based on this trend for the query "ai consciousness"
https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&geo=US&q=ai%20consciousness
What will the multiplier be from the trends index for the first two weeks of January 2024 to that index for the first two weeks of January 2026? If there's no change, this would resolve to 1.0. If the plot shows Jan '24 interest at zero due to a large spike later, I'll treat the zero value as 1.0 for the purpose of setting the multiplier, so a reading of (Jan '24: 0, Jan '26: 78) would resolve to 78.0.
1,000@creator
First two weeks of Jan 2024
Dec 31 - Jan 6: 0
Jan 7 - 13: 6
Avg: 3
First two weeks of Jan 2025
This is harder because it's split across three periods. What I did to make it fair is to weigh by # of days present (weighted avg)
Dec 28 - Jan 3: 50 -> We care about Jan 1 - Jan 3 -> 3/14*50
Jan 4 - 10: 21 -> We care about entire Jan 4 - Jan 10 -> 7/14*21
Jan 11 - 17: 23 -> We care about Jan 11 - 14 -> 4/14*23
Avg: 27.78571429
Multiplier: 9.26
You have to take it from now (Jan 17th) because any future results (for Jan 18th onwards) will now retroactively change the numbers.