How much will Google Trends interest in AI consciousness change from Jan '24 to Jan '26?
Basic
6
Ṁ1222026
8%
<=0.3x
16%
>.3x, <=1x
21%
>1x, <=3x
28%
>3x, <=10x
27%
>10x
Resolves based on this trend for the query "ai consciousness"
https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&geo=US&q=ai%20consciousness
What will the multiplier be from the trends index for the first two weeks of January 2024 to that index for the first two weeks of January 2026? If there's no change, this would resolve to 1.0. If the plot shows Jan '24 interest at zero due to a large spike later, I'll treat the zero value as 1.0 for the purpose of setting the multiplier, so a reading of (Jan '24: 0, Jan '26: 78) would resolve to 78.0.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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