Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?
4
2kṀ4042
2029
9%
chance
7

Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2030.

Source:
U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey (IPUMS)

https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market#--:explore:unemployment

Context:
Recently the rate jumped to an unusually high 5.8% which might be attributed to some entry-level positions being displaced by Artificial Intelligence.

The highest data-point so far was 13.4% in May 2020 at the beginning of COVID.

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