MANIFOLD
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?
15
Ṁ1kṀ3.2k
2034
30%
chance
15

Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2035.

Source:
U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey (IPUMS)

https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market#--:explore:unemployment

Context:

The highest data-point so far was 13.4% in May 2020 at the beginning of COVID.

2030 market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/unemployment-rate-for-recent-us-col

Market context
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