
https://x.com/NathanpmYoung/status/1435176381143470080
"the year when longevity finally takes off [...] will be just after AGI (if good) or never (if bad or Xrisk)"
Here, AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) is defined as a system clearly surpassing human capabilities in most economically valuable tasks. Specifically for this market, this must include all (or almost all) tasks related to aging research.
This is a follow-up to this market:
https://manifold.markets/Sinclair/will-nathanpmyoung-live-to-1000
Related questions
'natural death post AGI' option presumably doesn't include if he gets cryogenically frozen and then later revived, since he could then live a thousand years?
@Aleph I think for edge cases like cryonics or mind uploading this market should follow the original market (https://manifold.markets/Sinclair/will-nathanpmyoung-live-to-1000), to keep the two markets comparable































