Immortality or Death by AGI?
➕
Plus
30
Ṁ603
2200
40%
Immortality
18%
Death by AGI
43%
Neither

This resolves based on the best estimate of what happened to the plurality of users that were active on manifold.markets during the year 2023

Definitions

Immortality: Being over 200 years old with an annual death probability of less than 0.1%

Death by AGI: Any non-natural death where AGI plays a role in any form. For example, a nuclear war initiated with the involvement of AGI in the decision-making process or in building the nukes would count for this option

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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bought Ṁ75 Immortality YES

Immortality if I can help it

Based on my current knowledge in the field of AI alignment in combination with the current state of development I would overwhelmingly bet on death but if you think about it making that bet really makes no sense in this context since a payout would be meaningless.

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