The Iowa Selzer Poll will prove to be accurate
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16
Ṁ402
Nov 6
19%
chance

Criterion: Selzer poll is accurate to within 0.3% for Trump and Harris.

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#Kamala Harris
#Democratic Party
#FiveThirtyEight
#Derivative Markets
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so if trump wins by 46.9 to 44.1%, that counts?

What exactly is the winning condition here? Does Harris have to get exactly 47%, Trump 44%, RFK 3% and "someone else "1%???

@Enlil

Sorry, I should have detailed that the Selzer poll is accurate within 3% for the Democrat and Republican candidates.

@ShreyasArathrigqgN I think you put 0.3% in the description.

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