This market resolves YES if my sex market is shown on the LO/Manifest news tab by 5:30 PM on Friday, June 7th and continues to be shown (with allowances for site downtime and brief periods) for 24 hours after that time.

I may bet on this market.

It is possible for both my gripes below to be resolved and for this market to resolve NO.

Context:

I created a market recently about how many people I'll have sex with during LO/Manifest: https://manifold.markets/Shelvacu/how-many-people-will-i-have-sex-wit-66fb035f5fb3

In contrast to my experience last year, where it felt like every third person I talked to commented on it, very few people brought it up. There are many possible reasons for this, I assumed that maybe the LessWrong crowd didn't care as much, or people thought it was tacky and didn't have much positive to say. However it has become clear to me that nobody has seen the market, because Manifold makes it very hard to stumble upon. Despite having a large liquidity pool and a question which is obviously relevant and interesting to the people attending manifest, this market does not show in the LO/Manifest tab on the main page. When I asked the relevant people about this, rather than the wonderful frank, straightforward communication I'm used to I got stilted, awkward answers. I was redirected to someone else multiple times.

I posit that something has happened to manifold that maybe they don't even realize because it happened so slowly. They transitioned from wanting to be sex-positive, to wanting to appear sex-positive while also presenting a sterile facade to the wider public.

I was told manifold "wanted to keep it below a certain rating", but this is ridiculous. The market is not pornographic. It has the description necessary to describe its resolution conditions. It has a picture of my body in casual clothes with a sliver of stomach showing.

I encourage manifold to face this directly: either appear and be sex-positive, showing markets about sex on equal footing to other markets, or don't be sex-positive and put new rules in place to disallow these markets, and phase out the existing markets and the Sex & Love tag.