Rationalussy 2: How many people will I have sex with while in SF for Manifest&Lessonline?
76
52kṀ120k
resolved Jun 11
100%24%
2
19%
0
34%
1
15%
3-5
7%
6-9
2%
10+

I thought it might be tacky to run basically the exact same market again, but then I did it anyways.

I've bought my plane ticket, manifest+summercamp+lessonline ticket, and hotel is reserved. Barring calamity, I will be going to manifest & lessonline 2024, and I'm hoping to make some friends. Possibly some with benefits.

I don't wanna write a bunch of legalese. In general I will resolve in the spirit of the market.

You can see the previous market here: https://manifold.markets/Shelvacu/will-i-have-sex-with-someone-atarou

Differences from the previous market:
- This applies to any sex while I'm in the San Francisco area for this trip (it doesn't need to be otherwise connected to manifest/lessonline) so long as I don't pay for it.

  • There's multiple options this time :D

Things you should know:

  • You must read the previous market for full details

  • This market doubles as a personal ad. DMs open ;) Best place to reach me is on discord shelvacu or signal private messager shelvacu.66

  • This applies to anyone of any gender.

  • I have no plans to record a video. I may or may not provide details about who/when, depending on how I and the other party(ies) feel about it. Unfortunately you'll just have to trust me on this one.

  • Whoever I have sex with will obviously have insider information and may trade on that information for profit.

  • Similarly if I'm in an orgy, everyone at the orgy will have insider information.

  • Other than the above, I will do my best not to leak information about this market, and will glomar-ing throughout my trip.

  • "So long as I don't pay for it" is meant to exclude escorts and similar. This does not exclude buying someone a fancy dinner or other similar things.

  • I will not trade on this market, or have others trade for me/on my behalf. I may add liquidity/subsidies

  • I don't at the time of writing know a specific person who would likely be willing and is going to be in SF at the time.

  • I'm planning to be there from May 31 to Jun 10. I'm not comitting to those dates (ie I won't N/A if that changes) but I will try to keep this market up-to-date and leave a comment if something changes.

  • This market will resolve sometime after I get on the plane and I'm back home in Seattle.

  • I hereby give you permission to trade however you want! If you think I look unattractive as hell and I've got no chance in hell, buy a bunch of no. I won't be offended, that's what I signed up for by making this market.

  • I'm also open to most comments, but: if the entire substance of your comment is that I'm fat, or look like a pedo (at least I think that's what this comment was implying), or similar, your comment will be hidden and reported.

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