Scott's implies he may have written one of the contest books reviews this year. Did he write this one?
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-njals-saga
@SG not that I mind, but I thought admin resolution was for cases where the original market author wasn't resolving it in reasonable time? I had like ten minutes!
@DavidChee (I think he only did it because he wanted to screenshot the market as resolving YES for a Twitter post)
Pretty sure he did.
The sections are separated by Roman numerals followed by a dot like he does, there's a bunch of rare words ("efflorescence") and phrasings ("insane moon X") that he's used before. and references to specific things he's written about ("one of those duck-rabbits"), and capitalization of Important Concepts. Not to mention the frequent "microhumor" he's fond of utilizing.
@JensGoldberg The humor's a dead ringer, e.g. the exaggeration for comic effect in that description of the typical icelandic feud
@Cytokine sounds about right. Extended 5 weeks from today (Hopefully there should be info about voting shortly after the last review, might extend this further depending on that). Either way, I'll close it before official confirmation comes out.
@MichaelWheatley It rewards the people who spend all their time online or use a bot, when the intent is to reward predicting ability.
@MichaelWheatley I want people to be comfortable putting limit orders without having to worry about fully-informed adversaries.
@AlQuinn Alicorn bought a 1k stake in 'yes' and could very well have insider info, otherwise I would have continued betting down.
@Frogswap I too dumb to know who alicorn is. I stand by my review of the review, however!
@Tossup I reread the review and it's not quite as bad as I remembered. I think what triggered me was the incredibly stupid decision to include that annoying YouTube video.
@hmys it was sort of a "Calvin and Hobbes" video for me then (something a reasonable number of people like which I find worthless)