Will Israel free another living hostage by military means in the next 4 months?
Basic
70
Ṁ6.7kOct 9
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a living hostage crosses into Israel as a result of an operation by Israeli security forces.
-------------
Israel estimates there are less than 100 living hostages out of the 120 kidnapped people who are still in Gaza.
After 4 hostages were rescued yesteday on the 8th of June, a Hamas spokesperson said measures are being taken to make sure it does not happen again.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
Number of hostages alive could be as low as 50 according to US intelligece
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/families-of-hostages-in-gaza-are-desperate-for-news-but-dread-a-phone-call-b3ba92cd?mod=hp_lead_pos8
Related questions
Related questions
will another Israeli hostage be rescued before the US election?
57% chance
Will Hamas negotiate to release more 10/7 hostages before a permanent ceasefire ?
41% chance
How many Palestinian prisoners will Israel release in exchange for Hamas hostages?
Will the IDF invade Rafah even if a hostage deal is reached beforehand?
66% chance
Will a deal be reached with Hamas for the release of any more of the remaining Israeli hostages by the end of May?
10% chance
When will the hostages be released by Hamas?
Will Hamas execute an Israeli hostage and release video of the killing.
13% chance
If Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire, how many hostages will Hamas release?
How many hostages will be rescued from Gaza/Hamas?
Will Israel issue and carry out a death sentence by the end of 2024?
2% chance