Will Israel free another living hostage by military means in the next 4 months? | Manifold

Will Israel free another living hostage by military means in the next 4 months?

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resolved Aug 27

Resolved

YES

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Resolves YES if a living hostage crosses into Israel as a result of an operation by Israeli security forces.

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Israel estimates there are less than 100 living hostages out of the 120 kidnapped people who are still in Gaza.

After 4 hostages were rescued yesteday on the 8th of June, a Hamas spokesperson said measures are being taken to make sure it does not happen again.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇮🇱 Israel

#Arab-Israeli Conflict

#🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict

#Israeli Politics

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New market for the rest of the year

bought Ṁ1,500 YES

Ynet reports Qaid Farhan Alkadi was rescued alive

https://www.ynet.co.il/news/article/ryxxr4iic

Number of hostages alive could be as low as 50 according to US intelligece
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/families-of-hostages-in-gaza-are-desperate-for-news-but-dread-a-phone-call-b3ba92cd?mod=hp_lead_pos8

bought Ṁ200 NO

I think this is a bit high but possible; also holding NO is a good hedge for me.

@RichardHanania 78% for another rescue! Too optimistic?

bought Ṁ50 YES

Israel won't stop until she brings all of them home, dead or alive 🇮🇱

@AlexCao lol @ your name

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