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MANIFOLD
Will the US or allied countries attack targets in Yemen before 1/17/2024? (YES limit order at 10%)
20
Ṁ350Ṁ4.6k
resolved Jan 12
Resolved
YES

Targets have to be on Yemeni soil. Anything counts- special forces, a missile hitting Houthi infrastructure, assassinations, etc.

If the strikes are not claimed by anybody, this will resolve according to the opinion of reliable media sources.

I will bet in this market. If there is a significant dispute, I will turn over the resolution to a council of moderators.

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I was pretty sure this was going to happen within the week so I spun up this market and put up a yes order after months of nothing happening. unfortunately it's difficult to advertise that. But at least I tested my own forecasting abilities.