The emergence of Artificial General Intelligence represents a landmark evolution in the field of artificial intelligence, building upon the advancements made by current Large Language Models. This progression raises a pivotal question that intersects the domains of technology, philosophy, and ethics: Will we be able to determine if Artificial General Intelligence systems based on Large Language Models are merely sophisticated "Chinese boxes" — effectively simulating human-like comprehension and intention without truly possessing these attributes — or if they genuinely achieve a level of understanding and intentional thought? This question extends beyond the mere technical development of artificial intelligence, delving into the essence of what it means for a machine to "understand" or "intend" something, challenging the traditional boundaries between simulated and authentic cognitive processes.

This inquiry is not just about the future capabilities of Artificial General Intelligence but also about a broader examination of the limits and potential of artificial intelligence. It brings to the forefront critical issues regarding how we define and recognize true comprehension and intentionality in a non-biological entity. The implications of this question are vast, touching upon how such systems would be integrated into our society, the ethical considerations surrounding their interactions and decisions, and the potential for a redefinition of our understanding of intelligence and consciousness. Ultimately, this inquiry opens a door to a future where the distinction between human and artificial cognition may become increasingly indistinct, prompting a reevaluation of our current perspectives and methodologies in both artificial and human intelligence.

The resolution of the question hinges on two key developments by mid-2024:

1. Establishment of an Official Consensus on AGI Definition: There needs to be a universally recognized and agreed-upon definition of Artificial General Intelligence.

2. Development of a Universally Accepted Method for Assessing Consciousness in AGI: Alongside the definition, there should be a method, potentially developed or endorsed by a governmental body, for evaluating the consciousness levels within large language models.