1
Will Russia have nuclear weapons in Belarus at the end of 2023?
26
closes Dec 31
80%
chance

Related markets

Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2023?15%
Will Russia station at least one nuclear weapon in Belarus before 2024?84%
Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2024?21%
Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?23%
Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in a country other than Ukraine or Russia by end of 2023?3%
Will Russia annex Belarus until 2030?23%
Will Russia attack Moldova before the end of 2023?10%
Will there be a deadly military conflict between Russian and NATO armed forces in 2023?7%
Will Russia annex Belarus until 2025?18%
Will Russia confront USA by the end of 2029?16%
Will forces from a NATO member country enter Belarus before Q4 2023?6%
Will Russia legally end the ongoing military mobilization before the end of 2023?16%
Will there be a direct military conflict between Poland and Russia before the end of 2023?5%
1. Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2023?92%
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus by the end of 2023?76%
Will Putin confirm he ordered a nuclear strike by 2025?15%
Will Putin flee Russia by the end of 2023?3%
Will Russia be broken up by the end of 2024?12%
Will Belarus be at least partly free by end of 2025?34%
Will Russia have control over Kramatorsk by the end of 202314%