ScottLawrence avatar
Scott Lawrence
closes Dec 31
Will classified documents be found inappropriately stored by G. W. Bush (this year)?
26%
chance

First Trump, then Biden, now Pence! Is it Bush II's turn next?

Resolves NO at the end of the year if nothing's happened by then.

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ShakedKoplewitz avatar
Shaked Koplewitzbought Ṁ300 of NO

As hilarious as this would be, I'm betting no.
(Also, what bout Obama? Seems unfair to leave him out here)

jack avatar
Jackbought Ṁ20 of YES

"National Archives asks former presidents and vice presidents to check for classified and presidential documents"

https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/26/politics/archives-letter-former-presidents-vice-presidents-classified-documents/index.html

BTE avatar
BTE

I think only people running for office have anything to worry about.

ScottLawrence avatar
Scott Lawrence

@BTE huh? Is pence running?

jack avatar
Jackis predicting YES at 38%

@ScottLawrence Quite possibly!

BTE avatar
BTE

@ScottLawrence He voluntarily turned them over. And yes I think he is.

BTE avatar
BTE

@ScottLawrence Totally understood. But why even look?

ScottLawrence avatar
Scott Lawrence

@BTE To be clear, this market will resolve yes if Bush voluntarily turns them over, as well.

Boklam avatar
Boklamis predicting NO at 38%

@BTE So much confidence, so few bets!