What percentile did the median superforecaster get in the 2023 ACX prediction contest?
17
400Ṁ1218resolved Mar 5
Resolved as
70%1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/2023-prediction-contest
I have scores already. About 3300 people entered Blind Mode. What percentile among these people do you think the median superforecaster who entered got?
I will probably post results on Monday; this question will close then. It will resolve to the percentile, so if they got 50th percentile, it will resolve to 50.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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