Will the S&P 500 hit 6000 again before hitting 6500?
60
1kṀ19k2026
20%
chance
8
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution source: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/.SPX
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Bayesian i have 3% of your balance and need to save some mana to manipulate this market for leagues at the end of the month, but maybe once i'm more confident i'll put in another 5k
@SaviorofPlant when you're more confident i'll no longer be confident and i will not put money anymore!
@Bayesian ok, fuck it, i'm convinced. i'll do 3500 at 46%, maybe not the type of volume you're going for but a 50k bet would be half of my portfolio lmfao
edit: there are random traders filling at 46% so i have moved it to 44%