Will any AI regulation be passed between now and the start of the 119th Congress?
20
114
Ṁ1.3KṀ390
2025
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To resolve yes, there must be text in a bill passed by both houses of Congress and not successfully vetoed which pertains specifically to AI. General regulations which have an impact on AI but are not specifically targeted at it will not cause the market to resolve yes. However, the bill itself does not have to be targeted at AI (a single clause in a government funding bill, for example, will lead to a yes resolution).
See also my market for specific AI regulations that will be passed by 2027: https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-ai-regulations-will-the-us-con-d2c35cd7c772
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