[SHORT FUSE] What will be Trump's announcement tomorrow be about?
51
275Ṁ9369
resolved Sep 2
50%57%
space command HQ
50%18%
The Department of Defense/War
3%
Something about tariffs
3%
Something about the White House renovations
5%
Something about Trump's health
1.1%
Something about Ukraine / Russia
2%
Something about Venezuela
1.1%
Trump is resigning
2%
Something about deploying law enforcement or the National Guard
0.4%
Trump revealing he actually is @realDonaldTrump on Manifold
5%Other

resolves 50% each if two answers both correctly describe the announcement

  • Update 2025-09-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - "Other" resolves Yes only if no listed option correctly describes the announcement; if any listed option does, "Other" resolves No.

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Is it possible for this to resolve 100%? It seems like this also heavily relates to the department of defense, which would imply a 50/50 resolution with the DoD option?

@MarcusM in retrospect this was a stupid market format and i regret creating it this way

sold Ṁ50 YES

@SaviorofPlant If multiple topics are covered and at least one of them is not listed will "Other" resolve to "Yes"?

@AaronSimansky Other only resolves yes if none of the other options do

opened a Ṁ10,000 NO at 20% order

Come on guys, you're making us look stupid in front of the other prediction markets

bought Ṁ5 YES

@Joshua why do you think it's that low??

@realDonaldTrump They said it's about the DoD

bought Ṁ90 YES

This announcement will be the most important announcement in the history of announcements, I think

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