20
381
1.7K
2025
69%
Ṁ100,000
1.2%
Ṁ200,000
5%
Ṁ300,000
4%
Ṁ400,000
2%
Ṁ500,000
1.5%
Ṁ600,000
7%
Ṁ700,000
6%
Ṁ800,000
1.6%
Ṁ900,000
0.6%
Ṁ1,000,000
3%
Other

Resolves to the nearest Ṁ100,000.

New multiples of 100k will be split of off other if it seems like Tumbles is borrowing more.

Unless someone calculates a better estimate with proof, I will use Tumble's self reported amount in

/Tumbles/will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba

Get Ṁ200 play money
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sold Ṁ9 Ṁ600,000 YES

p2p loans are being banned, with existing debts being grandfathered in, so this will resolve to 300,000 or less

@Tumbles unless they revert it

@SavioMak That's true. Currently I still think my loan taking days would be over even if managrams come back, but I wouldn't say that for sure. The pivot has super nerfed my trading strats, which means I can't make as much with loans, which means I can't offer very good rates, which means people will prefer to just hold onto their mana, especially since it's worth actual money now. A lot could change though between now and the end of the year

bought Ṁ10 Ṁ600,000 YES

currently just shy of M$785k, and I don't see the debt getting much lower (unless Tumbles goes bankrupt)

update: now up to M$818k

@duck_master because this is only about debt at EOY 2024, you should only add the loans that are due 2025 onwards, and it is ~300k right now

bought Ṁ10 Ṁ500,000 NO
bought Ṁ20 Ṁ200,000 NO

@Tumbles I didn't want to touch your topic

@Tumbles If you want to see how previous markets similar to this went, follow the chain of links in the comments starting with this market:

/Tumbles/ok-this-is-just-getting-silly-now-w