
In 2015, iPhone sales reached a peak at 231.2 million units sold. The number of sales fluctuated until it reached a new peak in 2021, with 242 million units sold. However, in 2022, sales declined to 232.2 million units.
https://www.businessofapps.com/data/apple-statistics/
This autumn, the various models of iPhone 15 are slated to be released. The expected shipment target is 85 million units according to industry sources which is generally in line with figures from previous years. However, there are also rumours of a price hike for Pro models which might influence sales.
The question will resolve to YES, if according to the Business of Apps webpage above, iPhone sales in 2023 exceed sales in 2022. The question will resolve to NO, if iPhone sales in 2023 are lower than that in 2022.
The question is for now slated to close by March 1, 2024, since updates to sales data of the previous year tend to occur by Q1 / February next year.
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@SarkanyVar that's what I see as well.

lol estimates might be off by over 1%, but the resolution criterion makes this pretty unambiguous imo
@SarkanyVar Is there any chance they revise their estimate by march though? if not then it can resolve YES, but if so then maybe should wait idk