The OpenAI board fired Sam Altman in 2023, see Wikipedia. While Sam Altman returned, he is a habitual liar and many problems with him have not been resolved, so it is conceivable that the board may fire him again, to uphold the non-profit mission.
Will this happen in 2024?
@Lukaorevic My model of the board is that they can react to the change in environment. (I agree it is doubtful whether they can act first.) Stated another way, the board are Sam Altman enablers not Sam Altman minions.
This market asks a question closer to the thing you probably actually care about: https://manifold.markets/cash/will-sam-altman-cease-to-be-ceo-of-3357f67fc799
@RyanGreenblatt It resolves NO. Although not immediately, Sam Altman already returned once, so in theory he can resign, return, and then get fired again, and year end is not that far away anyway.
I don't think this is ideal, but too many people have bet already and I think I should follow the plain meaning of words.
See also /c5c9/will-sam-altman-be-considered-a-gri. Since Sam Altman is in fact a grifter, he should be considered one, but it may or may not happen. Resolves to poll.