What will be the outcome of 2024 South Korean general election? (resolves proportionally to seats)

370Ṁ485

resolved Apr 11

59%59%

Democratic Party of Korea (더불어민주당)

36%27%

People Power Party (국민의힘)

4%6%

Rebuilding Korea Party (조국혁신당)

1%1.9%

New Reform Party (개혁신당)

New Future Party (새로운미래)

Other

For the purpose of this market, satellite parties are included to main parties. Specifically, 더불어민주연합 is included in 더불어민주당, and 국민의미래 is included in 국민의힘.

South Korea

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Of 300 seats, Democratic Party of Korea won 175(58%) seats, People Power Party 108(36%), Rebuilding Korea Party 12(4%), New Reform Party 3(1%), New Future Party 1(0%), Other 1(0%). Percentages don't sum to 100 due to rounding.

Are satellite parties included, or do they belong to "Other"?

@ssamt For the purpose of this market, satellite parties are included to main parties. Specifically, 더불어민주연합 is included in 더불어민주당, and 국민의미래 is included in 국민의힘.

@SanghyeonSeo Thank you, maybe that should be added to the description as well.

See /NielS/south-korea-election-which-party-wi for the market to bet on the winner.

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