What will be the outcome of 2024 South Korean general election? (resolves proportionally to seats)
5
86
370
resolved Apr 11
59%59%
Democratic Party of Korea (더불어민주당)
36%27%
People Power Party (국민의힘)
4%6%
Rebuilding Korea Party (조국혁신당)
1%1.9%
New Reform Party (개혁신당)
2%
New Future Party (새로운미래)
4%
Other

For the purpose of this market, satellite parties are included to main parties. Specifically, 더불어민주연합 is included in 더불어민주당, and 국민의미래 is included in 국민의힘.

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Of 300 seats, Democratic Party of Korea won 175(58%) seats, People Power Party 108(36%), Rebuilding Korea Party 12(4%), New Reform Party 3(1%), New Future Party 1(0%), Other 1(0%). Percentages don't sum to 100 due to rounding.

Are satellite parties included, or do they belong to "Other"?

@ssamt For the purpose of this market, satellite parties are included to main parties. Specifically, 더불어민주연합 is included in 더불어민주당, and 국민의미래 is included in 국민의힘.

@SanghyeonSeo Thank you, maybe that should be added to the description as well.

See /NielS/south-korea-election-which-party-wi for the market to bet on the winner.