Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
U.S. 10 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?
1
Ṁ1kṀ103
2027
36%
chance

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) goes above 4.00% at any point before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the daily data for series DFII10 available on the FRED website: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII10.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!